Even since The Great Polling Debacle of 2016, I have come to realize that the current polling methodology is outdated and seriously flawed. And so the data that arise from the polls are also seriously flawed and thus so are the conclusions. Then the crappy conclusions get magnified by pundits in print and video and effect behavior. Examp…
Even since The Great Polling Debacle of 2016, I have come to realize that the current polling methodology is outdated and seriously flawed. And so the data that arise from the polls are also seriously flawed and thus so are the conclusions. Then the crappy conclusions get magnified by pundits in print and video and effect behavior. Example: in 2016 the polls said Clinton would win by a comfortable margin. People felt empowered to not vote for her (stayed home, voted for Stein or the other guy, What’s His Name) expecting Trump didn’t have a chance of winning. And we all know how that turned out.
There are lies, damn lies, statistics, and then there are polls.
Not a doubt in my mind HRC would have won had the election taken place two weeks before it did. The polls weren't wrong so much as the worst possible trifecta of Russian interference, protest votes, and the Comey surprise conspired to give us Donald Trump and this spiral into mass insanity.
Even since The Great Polling Debacle of 2016, I have come to realize that the current polling methodology is outdated and seriously flawed. And so the data that arise from the polls are also seriously flawed and thus so are the conclusions. Then the crappy conclusions get magnified by pundits in print and video and effect behavior. Example: in 2016 the polls said Clinton would win by a comfortable margin. People felt empowered to not vote for her (stayed home, voted for Stein or the other guy, What’s His Name) expecting Trump didn’t have a chance of winning. And we all know how that turned out.
There are lies, damn lies, statistics, and then there are polls.
Apologies to Samuel Clemens.
Not a doubt in my mind HRC would have won had the election taken place two weeks before it did. The polls weren't wrong so much as the worst possible trifecta of Russian interference, protest votes, and the Comey surprise conspired to give us Donald Trump and this spiral into mass insanity.